Man City V Arsenal – A Statistical Preview
The games come thick and fast over Christmas and New Year, and the Gunners will be desperate to get their title challenge back on track after mid-week disappointment at Everton.
That hiccup puts a different complexion on what will be a tough journey to the Etihad Stadium, with both teams keen to start the festive season on the right footing.
Guardiola and Wenger’s first meeting in the Premier League should be engaging from a tactical viewpoint, so what indications do recent form give us as to who will win?
FORM GUIDE – OVERALL
Arsenal’s rich vein of form was abruptly halted by Everton’s resilience on Tuesday, while Man City returned to winning ways against Watford on Wednesday.
Despite Arsenal’s consistency over the last six games, they’ve only claimed one more point than City over the sequence of games.
Both sides have scored a remarkably similar tally over those games, but City have conceded an average of one more goal per game.
FORM GUIDE – HOME VS AWAY
Surprisingly, City have struggled to find their winning touch at home this season. Despite their winning streak in August and September, October and November were not so kind and home form has made a massive contribution to them dropping behind in the title race.
The Gunners are title frontrunners precisely because they’ve been so strong away from home this season. While they faltered on Merseyside this week, the hope will be that is just a hiccup.
Recent games between Arsenal and Man City at the Eithad have been very competitive. With two wins apiece and two draws across the last six meetings.
The long-term historic trend has Arsenal ahead with 11 wins five in the Premier League era. Many of those wins pre-date Man City’s new era of big spending though and this fixture now has an entirely different complexion.
A comparison of recent form also describes this game as almost too close to call. We’re unlikely to see anything approaching the 6-3 win City had almost exactly three years ago, but both teams pack a powerful attacking punch.
It’s highly likely both teams will score, and it will likely be the side that proves to be the most resilient defensively will claim three points. As results in recent years have shown though, both sides could well play-out a draw that would suit them both to an extent.
So evenly matched are the sides, it could well come down to which one wants it more. The manager’s tactical decisions could pale in comparison to how successfully they motivate their players.