As the January Transfer Window nears a close, I thought you might be interested in this statistical analysis which has revealed who Arsenal need to sign in order to deliver Champions League football next season.
The Bookmaker bwin has analysed over 2,500 January transfers from the last 10 years to reveal the profile of player that a top 6 club needs to sign in order to score more goals and improve their defence.
Attack what to do and avoid
Target a striker rather than a creative player 36% of top 6 teams who sign a striker score more goals.
Avoid wingers – wingers fail to improve the the goals tally 67% of the time.
Target youth over experience 46% of players signed between the ages of 21 and 23 resulted in a better goal difference.
Avoid players over the age of 30 players in their 30’s fail to improve the team 71% of the time.
Target French or Italian over half (56%) of French signings have improved the team’s goal scoring threat.
Avoid English or non-European 82% of English signings haven’t improved a top 6 club’s fortunes.
Target Ligue 1 or Premier League 44% of players signed from France or England see more goals scored.
Avoid La Liga or Bundesliga 83% of recruits from Spain and Germany fail to improve a goals ratio.
Defence what to do and avoid
Target full backs rather than goalkeeper an upgrade at full back sees a top 6 club concede less goals 42% of the time.
Avoid signing a goalkeeper – a new pair of gloves fails to improve a leaky defence 70% of the time.
Target potential over the finished article, 43% of players signed under the age of 26 resulted in a better goal difference.
Avoid players over the age of 27 - 69% of older players don’t improve a top 6 club.
TargetEnglish defenders - 70% of English defenders have seen a top 6 club concede less goals.
Avoid German or African defenders - 78% fail to improve a club’s fortunes at the back.
Target Premier League - signings from the Premier League improve the defence 48% of the time.
Avoid Bundesliga - 79% of defenders from the Bundesliga fail to improve the team.
Transfer targets (players to sign)
Malcom - the 20 year old at Bordeaux has been linked with London rivals Tottenham and Arsenal already
Mario Balotelli - only 6 months left on his deal at Nice and the Italian from Ligue 1 is a perfect fit. Could a return to the Premier League be on the cards?
Danny Rose - the full back is out of favour at Tottenham, switching with Ben Davies, and could be looking for more regular first team football to guarantee his spot as England’s first choice
Luke Shaw - the full back returned to form in the absence of Ashley Young and has only 6 months remaining on his contract at Man Utd.
Transfer targets (players to avoid)
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang - the stats are heavily weighed against the African striker from the Bundesliga.
Riyad Mahrez - the Algerian winger may have played in the Premier League, but the stats suggest he might not make the step up.
So who thinks Arsenal should go for Ballotelli instead of Aubameyang???