According to reports, Arsenal Women have less than 1% chance of winning the WSL title

Arsenal's English striker Beth Mead reacts after failing to score during the UEFA Women's Champions League quarter-final football match between Arsenal and VfL Wolfsburg at the Emirates Stadium in London on March 23, 2022. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP) (Photo by BEN STANSALL/AFP via Getty Images)

Arsenal Women had been very much in the WSL title-race, sitting just 3 points behind front-runners Chelsea & Manchester City. Before Arsenal’s away game to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge last weekend, Arsenal were already considered the outsiders in the race, given that they had already suffered 3 WSL defeats – to Liverpool, Tottenham & West Ham.

Chelsea Women’s 3-1 annihilation of our Gunners, at Stamford Bridge, now leaves Arsenal Women 6 points behind the front-runners, and only 6 points ahead of Manchester United and Liverpool. Arsenal still need to put absolutely everything into their last 6 WSL games, to ensure that they stay well ahead of the rest of the pack, and secure entry to Round 1 of the Women’s Champions League qualifiers for 2024-25. Remember, our Gunners finished 3rd last season but went out in the Champions League Round 1 qualifiers..

According to BBC Sport, the Opta ‘supercomputer’ has predicted that Chelsea have a 66.7% chance of winning the WSL title this season. Manchester City have a 32.9% chance, and Arsenal have a lowly 0.4% outside chance.

Detailed below are the 6 WSL fixtures that each of the ‘Top 3’ still have to play this season. The potential, but unlikely, trip hazards for Chelsea are Man United & Tottenham Hotspur (both away games. Manchester City go h2h with Man United next; a derby that could trip the Citizens up, but it’s at home, an unlikely trip hazard. Arguably, the biggest game that Man City & Arsenal face is when they go h2h in the penultimate game of the season in May, away for Arsenal at City’s Joye Stadium.

In my opinion, there is still an outside chance for our Gunners, but it relies on the top 2 dropping unlikely points over the coming WSL matches – and Arsenal winning ALL of theirs..

Arsenal & Chelsea meet in the Women’s Conti Cup final on 31st March. As holders, can our Gunners retain their Conti Cup title?

What are your thoughts on the rest of our season Gooners?

Michelle M

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2 Comments

  1. it depends on Man City and Chelsea dropping points, but though this is not odds on, i think there s about a 20 per cent chance of it and it depends also on us winning our matches, this is in our own hands and i d say the chance are or should be at least 50%. in combination then i think there s still a 10 to 15 % chance we will win the title, so that s much more than 1% … but what s even more important is to improve as a team for the future .. we all know our players are tops in their own right, i don t think we need any new players, except maybe someone of Lauren James’ skill level, what we now need to see is brilliant teamwork, eg Williamson returning to be provider of her long passes that quickly turns defence into attack, Walti reading the game brilliantly, sending curved balls, for example for Mead to run onto, and to run round defenders before shooting, Wubben Moy showing the skills that surprises opponents, Foord and Lacasse making incisive passes after bedazzling opponents, Little and Mc Cabe taking unexpected shots at goal, Russo and Blackstenius, , to look for passes to run onto, give penalty area passes to each other, yes Jonas play them both together please, to create openings, looking sharp and converting their chances, and for all players to raise their game with energy, zeal and skill to play magnificently, …there are other great players too who i could mention, , with skills to make this a most effective team, not just a group of fine individuals … in this way we can defeat the odds and win the WSL or at least put ourselves in prime position to win many titles next season

  2. I AM A FAN FROM MALAYSIA AND I FEEL THAT IN ORDER FOR ARSENAL TO HAVE A CHANCE, THEY HAVE TO BE IN consistent with Game Plan in attacking mode and be strong in their defense like when they beat MU before the Chelsea game. Why didn’t Jonas. EIDWALL did not field the same players that had beaten MU. When playing with Chelsea it looked liked they are lost. They Have BEATEN CHELSEA BEFORE IN DECEMBER LAST YEAR AT 3-1. WHY COULD’NT They Win Against them again? And yet Chelsea is not fielding their best players with most of them having injuries. It looks like as though that they are not the same players anymore and have lost their fighting spirits. YES, hopefully Chelsea and Manchester City loses the remaining matches and Arsenal’s wins all of theirs, I guess a miracle has to take place. And how to win the Conti cup if Chelsea field their best players? I hope they will not give up and win the Conti Cup or there will be a lot of disappointed fans especially me who is watching afar from another continent in the wee hours of the morning cheering them on. Arsenal Has The Best Players in their team and they should be on top of their game and could have been on top of the WSL league and also be UEFA champions, but first and foremost they have to believe in themselves that they can do it. Most effort are 99% effort and 1% luck.

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