Arsenal front three at home will rack up the goals but maybe not away

The much-vaunted Arsenal attack line will be as formidable as any other front line in the Premier League once Nicolas Pepe finds his feet, and the temptation will be to unleash them on a regular basis but there will be times when it is better to be more conservative and that will mean not playing the front three at the same time.

At home against the likes of Brighton, Norwich City etc. you would expect Unai Emery to field Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Nicolas Pepe and Alexandre Lacazette at the same time and expect a good goal return, but on the road against the likes of Man City then a more careful approach has to be expected.

Pundits and former players, Paul Merson as an example have been going on about how good the Arsenal forward line is now, even comparing it with the likes of Liverpool’s formidable trio of Mo Salah, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane.

Shrewd punters appear to be in agreement and are waiting patiently for when Emery fields his front three at the same time when playing at the Emirates, they will smash into the Asian Handicap markets and back the Gunners to win by two-three or more goals.

Asian Handicap specialists Sbobet always put up great odds, and I will be keeping an eye on their markets when Emery puts out his front three in a Premier League match at home, against any visiting team.

Let’s take last season as an example, in 12 of their 18 Premier League home games they beat the opposition by at least two goals and that includes two-goal wins over Tottenham, Chelsea and Man Utd and that was without Nicolas Pepe.

So far this season they have played two home games and neither one was a win by a two-goal margin but it is still very early days and remember they did lose their opening game at home last season.

Obviously, away from home, it was a very different story and that is why I will be avoiding playing the Asian Handicap markets when Arsenal are on the road.

Away games are best left alone from a betting perspective until such a time that Arsenal have turned a corner, they got this season off to a great start with a win at St James Park and it is unfair to judge them based on the 3-1 loss at Liverpool, especially when the front three was not started at the same time.

But it is not the forward line that is cause for concern on the road, it is the defence and it will be at least two months before Emery is able to field his ideal backline that is all fully fit and at the top of their game.

So, as things stand right now, I am confident that backing Arsenal at home to beat their opponents by at least two goals is the way to go, while playing a waiting game away from home, until the Arsenal defence is more solid is the most sensible option.

Updated: September 11, 2019 — 12:40 pm

16 Comments

  1. We’ll struggle at home as well in some games, because it’s an off balance front 3. We badly need Auba down the middle as he’s far more effective in his proper position, but then what do we do with Laca? Some of best performances came last season when only one of them started.

  2. My solution to the best balance to our midfield is a flexible 4-4-2.
    Bring Martinelli to the left wing.

    Aubameyang.

    Martinelli Lacazette Pepe.

    Guendouzi Torreira.

    Tierney Luiz Holding Bellerin.

    Subs –
    E. Martinez
    Ozil
    Xhaka
    Kolasinac
    Ceballos
    Willock
    Sokratis.

    2nd Sub –
    Nelson
    Chambers
    A. M-Niles
    E. S-Rowe
    Saka.

    1. I like the inclusion of Martinelli in the starting line-up, because I think that boy would risk his legs to cement his position on the left wing

      I’d put Aubameyang on the bench though, because I want Lacazette and Ceballos to tire the opponents up with their high pressure. And I’d use 4-2-3-1, because the players are obviously not accustomed to 4-3-3 yet:

      ……………………. Leno
      Maitland-Niles . Sokratis . Luiz . Kolasinac
      ……………. Willock ……….. Guendouzi
      Pepe ………………. Ceballos ………. Martinelli
      …………………… Lacazette

      1. you will put one of last season highest goal scorer on the bench?..and you want him to sign new contract?..

      2. This will be perfect!

    2. Spot on
      This is the best formation for us now.

  3. Arsenal will not regret signing David Luiz, because he is a strong defender, used to premier league, matured,a winner however at times he makes silly mistakes.
    Secondly he came at time when arsenal was lacking defenders, after their Captain left the club.

  4. we will see in the watford game if our forward line are good enough away from home. it is a real good test, in that sense.if pepe plays, i can see him scoring !, then we just might see the floodgates open.give ozil some playing time, if he is fit, mentally and physically. such a terrible waste of a once world class talent. sadly , however, he is no longer anywhere near that best.but i think , we all need to know if he is up for the challenge.so put him out there against watford, and pray.

  5. At the moment, our best form of defence is attack…and we have a formidable front three, with guaranteed assists coming from Ceballos and/or Ozil.

    Isn’t it time UE started to play to our strengths, rather than try to play defensively?

    Watford should be there for the taking, low in confidence, new manager and no cojones so to speak!!!

  6. The article title is spot-on. Aubameyang, Lacazette and Ozil usually play very well at the Emirates, but they rarely perform well in away matches

    I expect Pepe to be able to play better in the opposition’s turf though, because he is an excellent winger

    Regarding Aubameyang’s and Lacazette’s comparison with Liverpool’s tridente, I think we cannot compare them because their positions and playing styles are different

    Pepe is more comparable to Mane and Salah, because he is also a top inverted winger like them

  7. Sorry to go OT..but it’s been 18 years since the 9/11 terror attacks.. my thoughts are with all the poor souls who lost their lives that day & the loved ones they left behind
    #NeverForget

    1. Well said Sue- who can ever forget that day?

  8. @ken1845-so sitting on a beach with pretty much nothing to do allowscyou gar too much time to indulge AW.So apologies for being off topic on this thread but my reply to your posts on the AW Topic Headline are as follows

    1) Leicester lost 3 games in 2015-16 season when winning the league.Two of those games were to Arsenal.We lost 7 games.They scored 68 to our 65.The goals against were 36 for both teams.So with a nearly identical goal ratio Leicester somehow managed to win more games than us.That is bad management.Again I will question Wenger as to why we were so adrift when we had a 12 point swing against them in the two games we played Leicester.Same goals conceded yet they win more games.Who else is held responsible?

    2) Of course you are unable to argue with the list of appalling defenders AW bought.There is no defence for him as we had no defence in our first team.Just when did he ever believe he would get round to actually sorting out this issue? 36 goals conceded is all but one every game.You don’t win titles with those stats.But somehow Leicester did.Ranieri proved himself a far better Manager that season compared to Wenger.

    Your point about the defence we had in the invincible season of 2003-04 is not really relevant without further condemning Wenger.He knew what players it required to build a title winning side yet failed miserably to replace them over the seasons that followed.That was on Wenger and nobody else.He totally refused to acknowledge what a CDM brings to the team when the side was crying out for one to protect the back four.Everyone recognised it but him.That is total negligence in my book.

    3/4) You say the players were not good enough.Lets not forget they were all players brought to the Club.Who else is to blame?

    My argument will always be that the season 2015-16 proved Wenger had lost all proportion of exactly what was needed to win The a Premiere League.All the others imploded but he oversaw our own pathetic results when the title was there for whoever was capable of putting winning runs together.The stats show we were on par with Leicester on goals scored and conceded.They won at the Etihad.We only drew.They won at WHL.We only drew.They won at OT.We only drew.
    That’s six points Wenger failed to get that Ranieri won.Add the home loss to Swansea and the total capitulation to Southampton on Boxing Day and there is where the title went.

    Wenger demanded total control and he got his own way.Therefore the blame stops solely with him and nobody else.

    Enjoy the sunshine Ken- and if anything is wrong BLAME WENGER

    1. Phil, not actually sunning myself, but you could say I’m getting hot under the collar!!!

      1. If AW was able to select a squad of players that inflicted two of the three defeats suffered by the champions, why do you not question those same players who, as the BFG admitted in his book, let the manager down with their performances?
      Shouldn’t the manager have expected his players to give the same kind of performances in every game?
      That is what the BFG was eluding to, the inconsistencies of the players, not the inconsistency of the manager

      2. Yet again, the defence, which you maintain was not there in the first team, somehow managed to restrict the goals conceded exactly to those of the eventual champions – an incredible accomplishment for a team supposedly void of any tactics, skills or players who could defend!!
      I have never argued that AW didn’t sign top defenders, or make mistakes in the transfer market, but what I am saying and which never seems to be directly answered is…how exactly, with no defence, did he still managed to finish 2nd and 3rd and qualify for the CL?

      As for the CDM role, have you forgotten song, flamini and , all of whom measure up to at least, the level of Torreria, lauded as the missing link when he was signed.
      None, of course were a Patrick Vieria, but you can’t just pluck that kind of player out of thin air can you?

      The most interesting point from your last paragraph is the 2015/16 date and your assumption thatAW had lost all proportion of what was needed to win the PL…yet we had managers like pep, klopp, mourinho sitting behind him in the league.
      So what did those three clubs do for their managers? They gave them real money to go out and strengthen their squads…(real money meaning new players to strengthen the squads, not money spent from transfers out )while AW and Raniera were given peanuts…Raniera was sacked and Wenger resigned and both clubs are still trying to emulate what these two managers achieved ( one for twenty years and the other for one ) with the same cash restrictions for UE and Rodgers.

      As it’s currently raining Phil and it seems the blame for anything that’s wrong must lie at the feet of Arsene Wenger, I guess the only thing to do is read the BFG’s admission that the players let him down…that will give me further solace that I have been blessed to live and witness the flawed genius that could only get us into 2nd place above the likes of chelsea, city and united with a non existant defence, no CDM, peanuts to spend and dross players…There’s only one Arsene Wenger.

      O.T. Phil, love debating with you and it proves one can discuss completely different views in a respectful manner – one committed gooner to another!!!

      1. Ken-And I too enjoy the debate.As much as I blame Wenger for so much there is no doubt he enjoys the respect of so many.
        Enjoy your holiday and I look forward to future discussions

      2. There’s only on Wenger. The genius. The best Arsenal manager ever

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