As Arsenal lost their first two Champions League Group games to the outsiders, it is now imperative that the Gunners get something out of their two games against Bayern Munich or they will have little chance of progressing to the knockout stages.
Arsene Wenger believes (scientifically of course) that the home crowd is the biggest factor in deciding who wins Champions League games, and also who scores the first goal, which is always a good start!
“When you look at the history of all these games, most are decided by the first goal,” Le Prof told Arsenal Player. “A new scientific study within the Champions League last year found that, more than ever, the team who scores first wins.
“Why? Because it puts the team in a very strong position to be able to counter-attack, and that is the easiest way to attack without opening yourself up.
“Having said that, I think on a longer distance the current numbers about away games will be reversed. I recently read a scientific study that covered all types of sport and what came out was that home teams are still favourites to win games, and not because of the motivational factor of the players but purely because of the support of the crowd.
“In a variety of sports, they came to the scientific conclusion that the biggest advantage of the team that plays at home is the support of the crowd. That’s not my impression; it’s the result of a scientific study.
“They eliminated all the other factors that could come in. It was a simple conclusion – it’s the home support that gives the advantage of the team. This home support can also turn against the home team if you don’t start well and if you are 1-0 down, but it also shows that influence is very strong.”
I think we have got a very good chance against Munich, for the simple reason that, like Manchester United, they will come to attack us themselves to try and win the game, whereas less talented teams tend to sit back and crowd the defence. So, as Wenger says, we just have to score the first goal or we will suffer.