As the defensive injuries continue mounting, the Arsenal train seems to be coming off the rails ahead of the Gunners trip to Anfield this evening. Just like when we faced them at the Emirates, most punters (including Arsenal fans!) are predicting a landslide win for Jurgen Klopp’s men. They were wrong then and hopefully they will be wrong again this time.
Just to highlight the massive task ahead of the Gunners, let’s start by looking at Liverpool’s home form since the start of the season…..
That is an extremely impressive record with only the draw against Man City blotting the copybook. It is also incredible that the ‘Pool have only conceded two goals as well, while scoring 22 times.
But Arsenal have not been slouches away from home with just the embarrassing loss to Southampton since August. Here are Arsenal’s away results…..
Although we have been getting reasonable returns on our travels the big worry for us is that we have not kept one clean sheet, and have conceded a massive 16 goals! So we certainly cannot go with a lot of confidence today except with the hope that we can get the luck of the the day and score more than them.
As for the team news, Nacho Monreal, Mustafi and Bellerin are all doubtful, and Koscielny can’t be playing every three days yet as he eases himself back to fitness after his long-term injury. We also have Henrik Mhkitaryan out for six weeks and now we have found out that Mesut Ozil is also not in squad to face Liverpool.
The BBC’s David Ornstein tweeted last night….
This was recorded at 6pm but we now know Mesut Ozil is out of Arsenal’s game at Liverpool tomorrow. He trained with the squad today but complained of pain in his knee and was withdrawn from the travelling party #AFC #LFC https://t.co/io95HjjIyl
— David Ornstein (@bbcsport_david) December 28, 2018
This new blow has now given Emery limited attacking options as well as the defensive problems, so it is not a very good time to be facing an undefeated Liverpool on their home ground.
So on to the betting news, it is little surprise with their amazing home record that Liverpool are priced at 5/12 with Bet UK. That is very short odds but better than I expected!
But one thing Arsenal can do on the road is score goals and with 21 goals in their 9 games it is better than 2 goals per game on average. So the 12/5 on offer from Bet UK on Arsenal to score 2 goals or more is surely worth a bet!
Another value bet is on Aubameyang, who is leading the race for the Golden Boot over Liverpool’s Mo Salah. If you fancy Auba to score again he is 6/1 with Bet UK to score the first goal and 6/4 to score anytime. Get on it!
So Emery has very limited options but I am sure he will pick the best team available to him, and should stick with his defensive set-up today. I believe Xhaka will start in case he needs to move back into defence, and Lacazette will be Emery’s (not-so)secret weapon on the bench, so this is the team I am predicting….
Of course we have to worry about our defence, but more in the hope that Aubameyang takes his chances I am going to go for a 2-2 draw at 14/1 …. (wish me luck, please!)