We have to improve our ‘big chance’ conversion rate quickly or Arsenal will drop out of the title race

Our Big chance conversion rate has been poor this season, improvements are required ASAP!! 

 Our next game coming up is a crucial clash at the summit of the Premier League table with the 3rd placed Arsenal hosting the early season pacesetters at the Emirates on Sunday. We’ll be coming up against the League’s best defense statistically, and even though we’re among the highest scoring teams this season, we’ll still have to improve our big chance conversion rate, not only for the game against Liverpool, but for the season ahead as well.

Out of the 29 big chances we’ve had this season, we’ve only managed to convert 9 of them which makes you to wonder whether we could have been leading the pack comfortably if we managed to convert some of those big chances. The plethora of good chances missed against Brighton, Bournemout, and even Shakhtar in midweek, cannot repeat itself if we are to have any chance of beating Liverpool. 

 Our creative output will be limited on Sunday due to the combined absence of Saka and Ødegaard, which was the case in the game against Bournemouth and Shakhtar Donetsk where we only managed to score a single goal in both clashes, however their absence should not be the only reason for our inefficiency in front of goal. 

 We will have chances and we must convert the best of them or we risk dropping further behind in the title race. This conversion problem was the main reason why the gooners were begging for an out and out number 9 in the summer, we’re a team that spread the goals nicely around the squad and that has been one of our superpowers in recent campaigns, but you do have to wonder whether a classic number 9 would have helped us better in our conversion rate this season.  

 Injuries have been a telling factor and I would love to assess that stat again when all of our players are back fit, but it’s without a doubt that we have the players currently to better that record and we should start against Liverpool on Sunday. We simply have to convert those chances when they come!! 

 What has been the main reason for our poor conversion of big chances this season gooners? The conversion rate is 31% by the way! 

 KENNETH BENJAMIN


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15 Comments

  1. statistics are a funny old thing

    if we look at Arsenal xG this PL season we are 3rd in the table, behind Man C but above Liverpool

    and Arsenal actual goals is greater than our xG, suggesting we are scoring more goals than the quality of chance, i.e. being clinical

    Arsenal level pegging with Liverpool, and slightly behind Man C

    interestingly, and reverse on last season, it is Arsenal xGA that is much worse than Liverpool and Man C – the legend of stingy defence belongs to last season, not this

    so on those stats it not goal conversion that is the problem, but big chances and goals conceded that is hurting us

  2. Arsenal is yet to peak this season, but are still very much in contention for the league. I bet once they deal with injuries and discipline concerns they will be scary again and that should be a big concern for fellow title contenders.

  3. Above all, the coach who determines the starting line-up should think about the last matches. In the absence of key attacking players, Martin & Bukayo, it is incomprehensible why Ethan was not given significant space. This is how the members of the Hall End are disgusted with whether to link their future with their parent club. And the team plays the way it plays. It’s a shame that one of the hottest contenders for the title is afraid of winning and betting everything on defense. That was understandable in the match against MC, but certainly not against Bournemouth.

  4. There is always a concern about not converting but would.be more worried if we weren’t creating
    A big one to come this Sunday
    A few more away days then we don’t leave London until the new year
    Onwards and upwards

  5. Am I the only one watching, but it seems Arteta didn’t learn the art of integrating and trust in academy players from Pep. I’m watching Barcelona doing extraordinary things with their academy players, Man.City, Liverpool doing same. Goal scoring is not our major problem, it is creation of great chances that it is, which Ethan can do in the absence of Saka and Odegard. But our allowing gala wants to prove and never ready to accept he was wrong. I hope all those hot prospects will not start leaving one after another for clubs that will be ready to trust them.

  6. I find it so frustrating tonight watching city.
    Who are we trying to kid, yes our defense is fantastic but last year we were lucky with our cbs not getting injured
    .
    I use an example that city sell sterling then Chelsea ditch him and we take him.
    Also look at the 10 position we had odegard and ESR. We sell ESR and MO gets injured.
    City have Foden gundogan de Brune etc etc
    We are a mile behind in terns of depth and monetary spend.

    Tell me why in a summer window did we take sterling and let Nelson ESR and nketia all go.
    All those outs and still no striker.
    Are we ambitious or are we not?

    1. City certainly showed how it should be done tonight following another good win by Villa yesterday.

      Although City has certainly spent more than Arsenal, no doubt about that, they’re also good sellers on the whole which Arsenal aren’t.

      Setting aside whether Arsenal should have sold the players you mention, they recorded an overall loss on transfer activity of about £17m in the recent window. City on the other hand showed an overall profit of about £115m in transfers over the summer.

      I think not getting a striker was, is and possibly will be an issue for Arsenal. Although some were clearly too expensive in fee and/or wages, I’m sure there were other alternatives – and the window was ten weeks long after all. However, we have to go with what we have although that’s not looking quite as good overall as it did earlier on, but we’ll see.

    2. Would you honestly have retained Nketiah and Nelson?
      Yes we are a mile behind City in terms of depth. They have had years and years of success and the ability to buy. I recall in the dim and distant past they cherry picked our players and just about anybody else in the premier league. They had won the league before Pep arrived, but since then he presided over 6 titles. A formidable club that until Guardiola leaves or they get sanctioned, will continue to be at the top of the pile.

      1. I would retain Reiss in a heartbeat! There is a player there who has never been given a chance. I actually really feel for the lad. Vieira, ESR and Nketiah were all given minutes but he rarely touched the pitch. I’d rather keep him any day of the month than bring on Sterling and he’d give Martinelli competition on the left flank or be a sub for Saka on the right

  7. November will be the crucial month for us!

    We will have played Liverpool at home this coming Sunday, BUT,

    How we perform from Oct 30th thru November 30th, I think, will decide our season!!

    In that period we will play 6 games, 5 of which will be away from home.

    I really believe we must win ALL of those games,

    Fingers crossed our injured get fit quickly!!!!!

  8. You want to see how effective an attacking team can be – watch the game between Barcelona and Bayern Munich played earlier tonight. Although, very unusually, Barcelona had far less possession they did a lot more with the ball when they had it. They took their chances clinically (and brilliantly) to win 4:1. Arteta/Arsenal could learn a thing or two from that performance.

    One other point from the game – the incredible play from young Yamal. Quite rightly, the commentator described his inch perfect, long range, diagonal pass (that Raphinha scored from for his hat trick) as “unbelievable”. What that kid, only 17, will be like by his earlier 20s goodness only knows. It made Arsenal’s efforts against Shakhtar look even more anaemic.

  9. I really hate that I understand all the youngsters that left for free from the academy. If Ethan can’t get a minute I understand chido left. Esr left us now we struggling even viera should have helped us.

  10. Arsenal need to improve their big chance creation rate too…there have been quite a few games where we’ve been kept relatively quiet even when we picked up points

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