What do the bookies think of Arsenal’s chances of landing our rumoured targets?

There have been hundreds of transfer rumours this summer linking Arsenal with every striker, midfielder and left back that appears to be available in the market, and even some that have not even been put on the transfer list.

But lately, the Arsenal transfer rumours seem to be concentrating on Youri Tielemans, Lisandro Martinez, Lucas Paqueta, NGolo Kante, Kyle Walker-Peters and possibly Serge Gnabry returning to the fold.

Arsenal have already signed Gabriel Jesus and Fabio Vieira for the first team, and although there was never a betting market for Vieira, the bookies had Arsenal as odds on favourites to sign Jesus from before the window even opened. So I thought that as things seemed to have quietened down on the rumour front, it was worth looking at the latest sports betting to see what the bookies thought of our chances of signing any of our current targets.

The latest rumours have been linking us with the Lyon midfielder Lucas Paqueta, who of course is another Brazilian, as most of our targets appear to be this summer, but the transfer fee being quoted from Lyon seems just a touch expensive when compared to someone like Tielemans.

But according to the bookies we still have a good chance of landing him, although the new moneybags team Newcastle are being quoted at around Even money favourites, while Arsenal are close behind at 7/4 second favourites. I would not complain if the 24 year-old joined us, but I somehow doubt that Arteta would use up such a large chunk of money for a player that has never played in the Premier League.

So lets move on to another midfielder and our unlikely link with the 31 year-old Chelsea superstar NGolo Kante. He would bring excellent experience to the team but I think it is extremely unlikely. The bookies seem to agree and have him priced at 12/1 to join us. Strangely Man United are 6/1 favourites which seems even more unlikely.

So on to Kyle Walker-Peters, who is a new recent Arsenal rumour, and it would appear Man United are favourites at around 4/1 and Arsenal right behind at 5/1. I certainly wouldn’t have a bet on that, would you?

Considering the rumours surrounding Lisandro Martinez, I can’t find any betting at all, so maybe the bookies already know who he will sign for. Let’s hupe its Arsenal!

Now for the big one in Youri Tielemans, the Leicester man has been linked with us since the transfer window opened and it looked like it was a done deal at one point. It may have gone quiet on the rumour front, but the bookies still have us as very hot favourites at around Even money, although a few bookies make us odds on to sign him.

Maybe the deal is not yet dead, but Man United are priced between 3/1 and 6/1 and he is also around 3/1 to stay at Leicester. The bookies are obviously undecided but according to them that is our most likely signing!

What do you think of these prices?


  1. Martinez has gone to Man United. I don’t think we’d sign another CM, unless Xhaka leaves

    1. But we need 1 CM because of Partey’s injury record
      I am sure you would agree that none of Elneny, Lokonga and AMN can replace Partey’s presence if he gets injured…
      And I am sure he will be on treatment table for at least 1/3rd time of the season..
      So we need someone who can replace or May be displace him from team by virtue of competition…
      We need at least one CM and LB because you can’t trust Tavares all the time..
      He is very inconsistent..
      So right now we need one CM like Tielemans and LB to compete with Tierney…
      If Arteta decides to Trust Tavares then we need only 1 CM
      Buying quality CM would certainly reduce reliance on Partey

      1. Maitland-Niles has never got a chance to start as a CDM, so I’d like to see his performance first in pre-season. Elneny is a very good CDM backup, whereas Lokonga is sloppy sometimes

        I think we’d only sign a CM if Xhaka or Partey leaves, because of the budget

        1. GAI, can you really see Arteta giving AMN any opportunities as DM? AMN appears to have upset Arteta during their playing days together.

  2. People beginning to make fun of us again … unjustified smugness about getting out of the transfer blocs early when all we have done in terms of trying to strengthen starting 11 is to bring in Jesus .. Spurs clearly ahead of us now with 3 decent players .. perisic not what he was but a savvy addition to give son a rest now and again … to strengthen their attacking options and midfield … man utd now on the move and Chelsea clearly in the mood to strengthen …. If xhaka stays and we don’t add quality to attack and midfield … ending the transfer window scrambling around again as the season gets underway hoping for a bargain … we will IMO slip back down next season and hope one of the contenders doesn’t knock us of 6th spot

  3. We need a CM because Xhaka needs to be replaced I don’t trust this viera guy yet. Everybody that can’t see that he really is is the common factor that made us fail. Everybody else has been upgraded. We will not play no champions league as long as xhaka keeps on starting.

    1. The first six months of ödegard being on loan at Arsenal was average. So if viera is average for 6 months and we have to use xhaka no champions league our transfer window have been poor. We depend on growth of players while other clubs go and get what they need.

  4. I think a midfielder in the mould of Tielemans is essential as we are light in midfield. Tielemans brings both experience and talent to the table so he is a no brainer to me. Also a LB is required to provide competition/back up to Tierney. We have more fixtures due to Europe and more congestion in the fixtures due to the winter World Cup so quality depth is a must.

  5. We need a DM, been saying it for years. Our top 4 opposition have all strengthened quite well, we have too but not necessarily in the positions we need the most.

    Anyone knows what’s happening with Saka’s contract? Seems to be very quiet on the contract extension front at Arsenal.

  6. Out of those I really want Youri Tielemans. I think he would be a perfect fit and is a player that Arsenal would benefit from greatly.

    Otherwise, Paqueta looks Newcastle-bound. Kante is a wonderful player but looking past his best and we don’t want any more Gallas/Willian/Silvestre type issues.

    I think there are far too many double-barrelled surnames in the game these days., and he’s part of the problem, not part of the solution. Martinez clearly wants to go to Man Utd, and even if they don’t match his valuation I’m not sure if bringing him to one of Man Utd’s bitter rivals (IE. Us) is a move worth pursuing.

  7. I am positively of the believe that Arsenal are not yet totally trough with the incomings and outgoings transfer during this current summer transfer window.
    For, definitely, Arsenal will still bring in some top quality new players before the end of the window. And equally, the club will ship out some of the Gunners in the team this summer as well.
    As Arsenal are currently on the pre-season tour to the US for training and to play some friendly matches. Initially to assess the fitness level, in form conditions and readiness of the 33 players individually and those of a group of individual players who they took to the training-match-playing tour. And later, to further assess them when they return and after they’ve played in the Emirates Cup match and in other organized friendlies I think will Arteta then takes the final decision on which Gunners he’ll jettison and those who he will hold on to to start the new EPL campaign with them.
    And as the summer transfer window doesn’t close until the 1st of September, i am of the believe that Arsenal will resume making efforts again in this summer window market to sign in some other top quality new players in additions to the 4 news who they’ve brought in already. The new more top quality signing additions but which they decided to put on hold after a careful thought because of the unjustified high demands of transfer fees being demanded from Arsenal by the selling clubs before they’ll agree to allow their players to sign for Arsenal has put Arsenal off for the timebeing to have a rethink before ,making attempts to sign new again. More especially to avoid being gazumped again by other rival top club sides.
    But however. I can’t accurately pinpoint which are the new players who Arsenal will still sign this summer among those who ate rumoured in the Arsenal rumour that they’ll sign.
    So therefore, Arsenal may sign Youri Tielemans this summer who is the most popular Gooners Choice should sign player by Arsenal this summer.
    But why hadn’t Arsenal signed him since the window was opened if they truly want to sign him? Beg the question. As They’ve signed Fabio Vieira early on and of recent followed that up by signing Gabriel Jesus before they went on game tour. Or ate Arsenal carefully weighing up their options whether to sign Tielemans this summer or not?

  8. I don’t know why we spend so long pursing these players with silly offers, alerting everyone else to them and losing them. If we want them we should make a proper offer for them, and if they reject it, move on.

  9. On such matters as transfers, I much believe that the more respected bookies(which does NOT mean ALL of them) is the best “guess guide” a fan can have as to whether or not such and such a player will arrive or not.

    This article says that we are about even money, or slightly shorter, to sign Tielemans and outsiders for all the others listed .

    My view is that not a single one on this list will arrive. I believe we WILL sign another big name but the club are keeping it firmly under wraps .

    To my mind it is is plain that IF we were seriously interested in Tielemans, then we would have bought him by now. I would be amazed, therefore, if he comes NOW.

    My view is that til now the club were keeping him as a last resort or sort of backstop, if ALL other midfield targets fail and that he has become a sort of effective decoy to AFC now, but there is no serious intent at all to buy him .

    I may be wrong of course – we all are at times, but that is my opinion.
    Finally, it is abundantly clear to me that the hoped for summer huge spend by Kroenke has been way overhyped by some and plainly there will be no huge amount spent.

    And certainly not, given all the remaining deadwood, including their current wages, we look unlikely to shift for any REAL money in. Reality!

  10. You have to be carefu with bookies odds, they are rarely, if ever, the real odds on anything.

    Bookies constantly shift odds and people think it’s because the underlying facts have changed – and sometimes that’s true – but more often than not it’s simply because they’ve taken too much money on one outcome and they *always* look to guarantee that they are in profit, whatever way it turns out, so they adjust the odds to guarantee their own profits.

    The odds of something happening are also generally longer than they offer as well. Example: when Leicester won the PL the odds on them were 500-1 pre-season. The reality is the chances are much longer than that – if you ran the PL a few billion times, a Leicester-type team wouldn’t win one in 500 or anything close.

    Those odds *sound* much longer than they really are.

    1. The “odds” largely reflect the amount of money wagered/held on a particular outcome by the bookmaker.

  11. I say let’s go for someone not on the list at all. Zinchenko, who can give us cover for Tierney and contribute in the midfield.

    1. Would be my choice, but apparently the Ukrainian is also on Chelsea’s and Everton’s radar.

  12. The quality that the rest of the big 6 are getting, is bothering me. Haaland, Koulibaly, Sterling, Nunez

    We get linked with Haaland, we get Jesus.

    We get linked with Sterling we get Marquinhos.

    We get linked with Raphinha we get Vieira

    We get linked with Neto, we get Turner

    United look set to get Martinez, Erikssen, De Jong

    Spurs already have Richarlison, Lenglet, Bissouma, Forster.

    However, we are really getting some new players this season. How many matches did these players play for Arsenal last season?

    Turner, Bellerin, Saliba, Mari, AMN
    Torreira, Vieira, Marquinhos, Jesus, Nelson.

    That is almost like 10 extra players, that is squad depth, but as for quality, I am not so sure? But certainly improves the bench compared to the end of last season.

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