Valenica are now just three points behind Getafe in the race for a top four position in La Liga with two games to go and because they have a better head to head record over Getafe they just need to close that deficit.
Getafe’s last two games are away at Barcelona and at home to Villarreal, whereas Valencia’s last two games are at home to Alaves and away to Real Valladolid. In better words, Valencia has the easier run in.
So, Valencia is definitely occupied on two fronts right now, however, unlike us, they are not in the mood to have an end of season collapse as their 6-2 away win at Huesca over the weekend showed.
Only four times in La Liga this season have Valencia won by at least two goals at home, they have not been prolific scorers and while they have lost just twice at the Mestalla, they have drawn an incredible ten times from their 18 home games.
In terms of their domestic competitions, I am concentrating on La Liga only because their knockout tournaments are not really that serious, a bit like our domestic cups to be honest but worse.
They have won their three home games in the Europa League this season beating Celtic 1-0, Krasnador 2-1 and Villarreal 2-0, however that final result was after they had beaten Villarreal 3-1 in the first leg and so was more or less a dead rubber.
Point is that for Valencia to beat us by two clear goals and not concede would be for them to perform better than they have for most of the season at home in both La Liga and the Europa League.
They were in the Champions League earlier in the season before being demoted to the Europa League and they did beat Man Utd 2-1 and Young Boys 3-1 following an opening game 2-0 loss to Juventus but again, even those wins against limited opposition were not that spectacular.
Can Valencia do enough to knock us out, of course they can, but the stats show that the advantage is clearly with us and that Los Che will struggle to progress to the final.
Though, we may give them a helping hand if we replicate our recent league form.